Mubarak’s Judgement Day

Mubarak’s Judgement Day

 Proving himself the tyrant that his people say he is, Mubarak is the ‘hot news’ in Israeli newspapers, as anti-government protests continue in Egypt.

A liability for Egypt and its people, Hosni Mubarak is favored by Israeli as the leader of Egypt, especially after his three-decade-rule has been in favor of the Israel-Egypt peace treaty.

Facing enemies on every border, Israel is willing to do anything to secure itself amid hostility and growing unrest. Fearing an Islamic takeover of Egypt, Israel fears the Muslim Brotherhood, Mubarak’s long-term major opposition.

However, many analysts see the Brotherhood as a conservative and moderate Islamic organization.

Feeling insecure and continually paranoid, Israel is talking up the threat.

Mubarak has lost all his influence and authority and fears the Muslim Brotherhood that has so far taken a back seat in the uprising. For decades, Mubarak has been aware that fair elections in Egypt would likely bring the Muslim Brotherhood to power.

Despite being proud of its own democracy, Israel does not want democracy on its doorstep. What Israel wants is regional stability and that is something that Mubarak has been able to deliver; he has been the closest thing Israel has to a friend in the Arab world for three decades.

Even though Egypt signed the peace treaty with Israel in years gone by, the treaty is not accepted enthusiastically among Egyptians. But bending under the autocratic rule of Mubarak, Egyptians have tolerated the treaty and for thirty years Israel hasn’t had to worry about Egypt, but all that has changed now.

As Hamas is an offshoot of Egypt’s Muslim Brotherhood, Israel is worried that if there is regime change in Egypt, the border with Gaza will be entirely insecure.

This equation brings a farcical aspect to the so-called push for democracy in Egypt that is flaunted by the US. President Mubarak, despite being overwhelmingly rejected by Egyptians and obviously seeing the writing on the wall, continues to cling onto what remains of his power, even though his country is falling into violence and bloodshed.

Omar Suleiman would be a good choice for Israel as he has played a key role in Middle East peace talks with the Palestinians over the years; however, in ‘democratic’ Egypt the question is whether or not the Egyptians would settle for him.

Other Arab rulers fear the domino affect of Tunis’, followed by Egypt’s revolution, and as Israeli eyes anxiously look south, there are fears that regime change in Egypt could destabilize the entire region.

In the meantime, Mubarak has to decide whether to save his country from violence and bloodshed and, step down, or remain in power surrounded by disdain, anarchy and the stubbornness that seems to characterize elderly Arab rulers.